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-   -   Martin McGuinness, RIP or rot in hell? (http://www.rapeboard.com/showthread.php?t=173358)

grants70 05-30-2017 08:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tom8517 (Post 1602336)
I'm a little suprised that hasn't happened already. The British government wasn't shy about doing it in Ireland. Internment without charge or trial, the special criminal courts, the SAS turned loose with shoot on sight orders...

Yes but would they do all that on the mainland? It's one thing to do it in an occupied country (or part of) to prop or perpetuate up a loyalist state, but to do all that in say England or the countries physically attached to it like Scotland and Wales might not be acceptable to the general population there.

tom8517 05-31-2017 09:24 AM

Internment in 2017 is unrealistic. And that's probably a good thing. I'm not really that familiar with the restrictions the police in the UK for electronic surveillance or rules governing searches, but it would seem reasonable to give the police a bit more leeway.

FuckingRotter 05-31-2017 10:16 AM

Successive governments have tinkered with police powers so often, it's hard to keep track unless one is actually interested!

As far as I know, police have the power to stop and search people in the street. Not particularly useful in terms of this thread.

A permit is required for electronic surveillance, or to enter a premises in order to search for evidence. Police do not require a permit to enter a premises if a criminal act is being committed that requires the protecting of life or property. So burglaries, assault, that type of thing. They can't just walk in if you're smoking a spliff, or making a bomb.

I don't know how all this works for the secret services and special forces. I suspect if you're in the SAS or SBS, you're just going to follow orders, and hope you don't end up facing criminal charges some where down the line. Actually, knowing what I know about the SAS, they probably wouldn't even bother with hope, or worry!

I don't see internment happening here either. Frankly, I don't think our political class has the stomach for this fight, and we are in serious danger of losing it.

tom8517 05-31-2017 10:18 AM

Back to the feuds, two recent prominent killings, one loyalist, one republican.

The loyalist, UDA man Colin Horner apparently as a result of a dispute inside the Antrim UDA. His family and friends all lamenting that he had changed his ways, had left violence behind, wanted nothing more than raise his family in peace. I doubt it. Whoever ordered his murder wouldn't have brought the heat to their organization that a high profile public shooting has, just to get rid of someone who was no longer involved. Still there were no broader political implications to Horner's death.

The republican, Kevin McGuigan has potentially much more serious ramifications. McGuigan had a long history in the IRA, did a stretch in Long Kesh and was responsible for a number of killings when the IRA decided to eliminate the drug trade in the nationalist areas. At some point Mcguigan went badly off the rails, maybe prison and a life of more or less constant violence will do that. He tried to set up up his own little fiefdom in Short Strand, starting scaring the hell out of his neighbors, even killing one of their dogs for barking too loud. He ignored repeated warnings to reign his behavior in, wound up getting a knee capping.

He blamed one of his former comrades, Jock Davidson, who wound up dead. Now, whats interesting is that all this brought to light was that it wasn't the rather inept real or continuity IRA, but the Provisionals, who were supposed to no longer exist.

Apparently after killing Davidson, the leadership of the Belfast IRA learned that McGuigan was staking out other senior republicans homes. Not surprisingly, this news was not well received and the order was given to kill McGuigan.

The news that the Provos had not in fact gone away sent the Unionists all up in flames, this combined with the RHI scandal is what brought down power sharing.

FuckingRotter 05-31-2017 10:29 AM

There hasn't been any reports here of a Republican killing. Could be for a variety of reasons, including the small matter of a general election. What usually gets reported here nowadays is when "dissident" nationalists off a Catholic public servant. There seems to be little press interest in the paramilitary feuding that was played out alongside the troubles, or as Ronnie Drew described it "the emergency".

grants70 06-03-2017 11:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tom8517 (Post 1602432)
....The loyalist, UDA man Colin Horner apparently as a result of a dispute inside the Antrim UDA. His family and friends all lamenting that he had changed his ways, had left violence behind, wanted nothing more than raise his family in peace....

Obviously his change of ways didn't exonerate or make him immune from retribution.

tom8517 06-04-2017 05:53 PM

I don't believe for a minute that he really left. There is a nasty feud over drug turf within the UDA, if he had really left it all behind they wouldn't have brought this kind of heat on themselves

After the troubles both sides took up free enterprise, the uda has the drug rackets, the republicans, given their control of the border, smuggling, mainly fuel and cigarettes

grants70 06-05-2017 06:27 PM

Fuel smuggling, really? Is it rationed or hard to get over there?

tom8517 06-05-2017 10:00 PM

Fuel smuggling is not really accurate, the more precise name would be fuel laundering. Basically it removing the marker dyes from lower cost fuel intended for agriculture and selling it at the higher market price. The process leaves behind toxic byproducts that can have serious environmental impacts.

tom8517 06-08-2017 05:42 PM

Early exit polls showing a good chance of a hung Parliament. SInn Fein's 4 to 6 seats could be big. Concessions would have to be huge to end abstentionism and take the seats though.

FuckingRotter 06-09-2017 02:14 AM

Concessions from who? None of the major parties support the various UK seperatist movements. The SNP have lost twenty seats, Labour gains were pitiful, and most of the parliamentary party doesn't support its leader any way. The Conservatives would need to rely on the Unionists to vote their way to get any thing done. The whole thing is a fucking mess!

tom8517 06-09-2017 03:13 AM

Sinn Fein reaffirmed they will not take their seats. Huge night for them though, went from four seats to seven. Had Labour gotten close enough that seven seats would have made a difference, then maybe a deal could have been done. Effectively buried the SDLP.

The DUP also had a big night, they may have some real leverage with the conservatives.

FuckingRotter 06-09-2017 03:28 AM

News here already suggesting the DUP would support a Conservative government.

FuckingRotter 06-09-2017 08:42 AM

Theresa May has announced she will form a minority government with support from the DUP. So no formal coalition.

tom8517 06-09-2017 01:16 PM

Now that the bit players, UUP and SDLP, have been brushed aside its time for the big two to behave like adults and restore power sharing. It's particularly important for Sinn Fein to show the converts they won from the SDLP that they made the right choice.

Abstaining from Westminster puts off some moderate nationalists, but it was the right choice. Sinn Fein taking their seats would have torn the party in two and driven mainstream republicans into the dissident camp.

FuckingRotter 06-09-2017 01:57 PM

MPs that don't attend parliament should be replaced by those that will. There should be a minimum attendance and voting requirement.

tom8517 06-09-2017 03:50 PM

The people that voted for Sinn Féin did so with the full knowledge that they would not go to westminster. Replacing them subverts the election. SInn Fein does get a financial benifit, sort of a delicious irony the British government funding Irish Republicans.

FuckingRotter 06-09-2017 09:31 PM

Meanwhile the snowflakes are melting all over social media at the thought that Theresa May who "lost" the election is forming a government, whilst Jeremy Corbyn who "won" the election, isn't.

It's like the EU referendum all over again. Do these idiots not have a basic grasp of arithmetic?

tom8517 06-09-2017 11:42 PM

The next few weeks should be interesting. Foster has far more influence now than 10 seats would normally give her. Might turn out to be the DUP tail wagging the conservative dog.

FuckingRotter 06-10-2017 12:18 AM

The Conservatives threw the Lib Dems a few scraps when the coalition government was formed, free school meals and a referendum on an alternative voting system. Conveniently for them then, the Lib Dems reciprocated by blocking any move against the EU.

If any thing, the DUP seem to be more libertarian than the Conservative party. The only difference this arrangement really makes is to Theresa Mays stated intent to "walk away" from Brexit negotiations if a decent deal can't be made. The Conservatives will immediately lose the support of any Northern Ireland party if this happens, because it is recognised that a frictionless border between the UK and Ireland needs to be achieved.

I'd support that myself - it just makes sense. We had a more or less open border before the troubles and the EEC came along. It almost seems to be as if the two arrived together! Quite how that fits with the UK ambition to control immigration from the rest of the EU is another thing entirely.

FuckingRotter 06-10-2017 12:26 AM

Since we're discussing tail wagging dog, one of the DUP policies is the forming of freeports in economically deprived areas, giving preferential rates to importers and exporters there. In other words, they want to give the Port of Belfast a shot in the arm. Fair enough.

The government had previously pledged to match EU investment in the regions when we leave. So it isn't as if the DUP would be expecting the government to do some thing it wouldn't other wise do. It would simply be telling the government how it wants the money spent. That seems perfectly reasonable for the party that is the party of regional government any way. Far more efficient than the EU, which just seems to like to cherry pick vanity projects.

I wonder if Sinn Fein will play ball?

tom8517 06-10-2017 03:07 AM

I would think so, provided the "economically deprived areas" are arrived at on the basis of need rather than geography.

Sinn Fein has to show now that they can be more than just the party for reunification. They have to deliver nuts and bolts results for the people that voted for them. The DUP is getting all the headlines, rightly so, as they have the chance to influence events far beyond the north.

But, don't overlook what Sinn Fein has accomplished. The opponent the other night was not the unionists, it was the SDLP. The electoral showdown with the unionists is years in the future, maybe more. But by shutting out the SDLP Sinn Fein has come closer to realistically being able to speak for the entire nationalist/republican population of the north.

They need to build on this, and that's going to involve reaching an accommodation with the DUP.

FuckingRotter 06-10-2017 06:15 AM

By region, rather than by borough or manor, you would be very hard pressed to find a more economically deprived place than Northern Ireland in the United Kingdom. I don't know how the figures measure up now, but when I was studying economics in the late 80s, Ulster had the highest unemployment and crime rates. Investment in the Port of Belfast would benefit not just people working there, but would have wider implications for the whole city, and probably the whole island, north and south.

Sinn Fein would be foolish not to get involved. They may not want to take up seats in Westminster, but this is an opportunity to actually govern. The DUP and Sinn Fein have been working together for twenty years, if they can agree how they want the money promised by the United Kingdom government to be spent, the DUP then more or less become Sinn Feins broker in Whitehall. Imagine that, Sinn Fein propping up a British government by proxy!

I still think they should take their seats in parliament though, and become a real political party, not a protest one.

FuckingRotter 06-10-2017 06:58 AM

Yesterday some one I know was complaining on Facebook that the DUP believe that the Pope is Satan. I pointed out that the Pope is Argentinian, which to an Englishman is the next worse thing. I then also pointed out that the previous Pope was German, and that the evidence is beginning to pile up.

tom8517 06-10-2017 02:10 PM

You might be on to something. The usual accusation is the anti Christ rather than Satan himself.

The Orange order is a peculiar bunch. Their big day, July 12 is coming up. Fat old guys in bowler hats and orange sashes beating drums and marching around to show the prince of darkness and his minions in Rome that Ulster is standing strong.

FuckingRotter 06-10-2017 02:39 PM

Good on them.

tom8517 06-10-2017 07:36 PM

so, a bit surprised this thread has had this long of a run. But it seems the consensus answer to the original question has been that Martin has earned his rest

go raibh maith agat Martin. Tiocfaidh Ár Lá

FuckingRotter 06-11-2017 02:19 AM

Events over the last year have combined to make Northern Ireland topical, and interesting.

tom8517 06-11-2017 05:43 PM

A lot or presure from ff in the south for Sinn Féin to take their seatsA a bit odd from a party that plays lip service to a 32 county republic but has has done nothing to advane it

tom8517 06-11-2017 05:57 PM

Sinn Fein's success had made her the bad girl from across the tracks that everyone wants to talk to now

grants70 06-11-2017 09:30 PM

Isn't Sinn Feins reluctance to take their seats down to having to swear allegiance to the Queen?

grants70 06-11-2017 09:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tom8517 (Post 1604114)
Sinn Fein's success had made her the bad girl from across the tracks that everyone wants to talk to now

There has been a lot of news coverage of this over here all weekend. More than a few politicians saying they really don't like what the DUP stands for, such as them being anti abortion, anti gay rights (Ulster says NO to all that ;)) and other things.

tom8517 06-11-2017 11:20 PM

Sinn fein will not swear an oath to the queen. They don't take salary but do recieve payment for office and other expenses in London.

FuckingRotter 06-13-2017 09:59 AM

A (not very credible internet news) source is suggesting that seven Sinn Fein MPs are on their way to take up seats in parliament. I wonder which one will put Dennis Skinners nose out of joint this time? ;)

tom8517 06-13-2017 11:03 AM

Sinn Fein is going to London, but its to discuss possible special EU status for Northern Ireland and a series of meetings with the other political parties and some trade unions. Both Adams and Michelle O'Neill have affirmed that Sinn Fein will not take their seats.

The important issue is to restore power sharing. Sinn Fein taking their seats would have historic symbolic importance, but would really change very little in practical terms. Both DUP and Sinn Fein are talking about how critical it is getting Stormont up and running, but neither side seems seriously committed to making it happen.

I have very real concerns that things could go very bad, very quickly in the north. The return of direct rule from London, given the fact that the DUP's new relationship with the government would seriously alienate even moderate nationalists.

The orange order is already asking the DUP to use their new influence in London to relax the restrictions on their marching thru nationalists areas. In particular the bowler and sash boys want to be allowed to parade down Garvaghy Road in Drumcree. If this happens, a riot is almost a certainty. This is exactly the sort of thing that could send the north up in flames.

Curiously, the first violence of the marching season occurred in Liverpool of all places. An Orange parade was passing an Irish bar, apparently the patrons were not at all pleased. The drinkers spilled out into the street and a fairly substantial brawl broke out.

FuckingRotter 06-13-2017 12:37 PM

Scousers. How many people had their pockets emptied during the fight?

tom8517 06-13-2017 01:36 PM

As far as I know, scouser has no sectarian connotation, so if everyone involved was a local they may have just traded the contents of each others pockets.

FuckingRotter 06-13-2017 02:37 PM

Yeah, grown men knocking ten types of shit out of each other over whose imaginary friend gives them the most right to walk down the fucking street. Pathetic.

tom8517 06-13-2017 03:42 PM

Not quite that simple. To put it in American terms, a bit like the KKK staging a march in Watts or Harlem.

tom8517 06-13-2017 06:54 PM

If you're talking the fight in Liverpool, then I'd agree. Most likely a case of pub stool patriots excersising their beer muscles.


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